Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 2357.640324 2547.526751 2737.960834 2942.958359 3157.084613 3373.847968 3609.566044
2026-02-08 2043.084449 2327.385299 2621.312687 2946.710544 3295.703750 3657.678833 4060.407920
2026-02-15 1816.274343 2157.175389 2518.037535 2926.034756 3372.129505 3842.852080 4374.912740
2026-02-22 1687.792156 2075.139732 2493.154051 2973.760356 3507.187006 4077.503285 4729.809255
2026-03-01 1562.444955 1984.202484 2447.532725 2988.374554 3596.694654 4254.573104 5014.718732
2026-03-08 1432.573780 1878.257149 2376.443890 2966.446203 3638.390764 4372.803791 5229.284283
2026-03-15 1303.966012 1765.423527 2290.222041 2920.565527 3647.089404 4449.131564 5392.611206
2026-03-22 1277.647122 1770.317183 2337.557652 3025.654456 3825.334374 4714.192452 5765.944068
2026-03-29 1222.404948 1736.640870 2336.564424 3071.939894 3933.966032 4898.905353 6047.550530
2026-04-05 1153.636838 1682.555201 2308.127518 3083.187566 3999.700872 5032.913623 6270.188622
2026-04-12 1082.476593 1621.781823 2268.565224 3078.503165 4044.539374 5141.124348 6461.893570
2026-04-19 1023.334678 1573.113232 2241.195218 3086.179126 4102.049069 5262.498546 6667.527310
2026-04-26 950.601324 1504.933267 2188.665529 3063.101191 4123.614947 5343.429877 6828.737008
2026-05-03 895.210765 1456.855841 2159.249959 3066.704682 4175.980307 5459.752990 7030.820913
2026-05-10 832.673499 1396.199043 2111.472186 3045.512990 4196.729496 5537.544835 7186.920835
2026-05-17 805.273243 1381.419798 2120.955502 3094.417957 4301.533560 5714.016010 7458.092731
2026-05-24 765.381719 1347.552128 2104.332284 3109.391834 4364.074483 5839.728160 7669.283477
2026-05-31 712.764290 1293.452036 2059.385057 3086.923531 4379.370434 5908.111834 7812.106700
2026-06-07 653.959325 1227.682336 1996.747084 3039.908055 4362.703706 5936.881843 7906.931340
2026-06-14 657.662813 1252.191876 2054.473947 3147.586164 4538.281146 6197.308148 8277.545472
2026-06-21 638.890884 1242.784050 2065.924470 3195.000836 4638.468970 6366.677592 8539.815572
2026-06-28 608.162858 1214.228313 2050.387548 3206.521914 4693.123814 6480.540920 8735.602344
2026-07-05 573.432738 1178.016792 2023.148545 3201.723693 4726.471307 6567.966426 8899.354273